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following is intended as general information and does not represent legal or tax
advice. Individual circumstances vary - please consult your legal and tax advisors
about your specific situation. As a monthly news source, some information may
remain on this page for several weeks.
I
expect to pass through life but once. If, therefore, there can be any kindness
I can show, or any good things I can do to any fellow human being, let me do it
now, and not defer it or neglect it, as I shall not pass this way again. William
Penn |
Recent
Economic News Healthcare
Spending - 2/24/05 NY Times The Bush administration
predicted Wednesday that government would account for nearly half of all the nation's
health care spending by 2014. Further, it said, total health spending will double
in a decade, to $3.6 trillion in 2014 from $1.8 trillion last year, while gross
domestic product, the total output of goods and services, grows more slowly. As
a result, health spending will constitute 18.7 percent of the economy by 2014,
up from an estimated 15.4 percent last year, the administration said. Economy
In Good Shape - 2/16/05 NY Times Federal Reserve
Chairman Alan Greenspan told Congress on Wednesday that the economic expansion
rolled into the new year at a respectable pace and that inflation -- while not
an immediate threat -- is something policy-makers must continue to guard against.
Greenspan, delivering the Fed's twice-a-year economic outlook to lawmakers,
struck a fairly positive tone about the economy, which had been mired in a midyear
lull last year and has since improved. "All told, the economy seems to
have entered 2005 expanding at a reasonably good pace, with inflation and inflation
expectations well-anchored,'' Greenspan said in prepared testimony before the
Senate Banking Committee. Balance
Of Payments - 2/05/05 NY Times Federal Reserve Board
Chairman Alan Greenspan predicted yesterday that the U.S. trade deficit will level
off and possibly shrink in months and years to come, in a speech that took a less
alarmist view of the trade gap than he has offered recently. Greenspan cited the
decline in the U.S. dollar as the main factor that is "poised to stabilize and
over the longer run possibly to decrease" the trade deficit. A cheaper dollar
makes U.S. products more competitive against goods produced abroad. January
Stocks Down - 2/0105 Wall Street Journal "Despite
a rally" Monday, "stock indexes finished January with clear declines, and that
could augur poorly for the year to come. The strong voter turnout and limited
violence during Iraq's elections combined with merger news and positive economic
reports to drive stocks up at the opening bell.... But oil prices, which began
the day down, turned up by afternoon amid continuing jitters about Middle East
stability and oil supplies." GovExec.com Federal
Reserve Is Expected to Continue Raising Rates - 1/30/05 NY
Times and 2/02/05 NY Times Notwithstanding new
evidence released on Friday that economic growth has slowed in recent months,
the Federal Reserve appears poised to continue raising interest rates for most
if not all of this year. Analysts almost unanimously predict that the Fed will
increase rates on Wednesday by another quarter-point, to 2.5 percent, and most
expect the central bank to repeat past statements about raising rates at a "measured"
pace. UPDATE - on 2/205 the Fed raised rates by a quarter of a point to
2.5 percent. It was its sixth increase since last June. NY Times
By Edmund L. Andrews Fed
Sees Productivity Growth Slowing Down - 1/20/05 Government
Executive Almost a decade after Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan
identified higher productivity as the key to inflation-free economic expansion,
Fed officials see productivity growth slowing down -- and are studying how that
may affect inflation and how fast they should raise interest rates. The Labor
Department said Wednesday that inflation, excluding food and energy, was 2.2%
in the 12 months that ended in December. That pace was unchanged from November
but up sharply from a low of 1.1% in January 2004. GovExec.com
THE
ECONOMY: SEVEN INDICATORS - From CNN Money (as of 2/02/05)
| The
indicator | What
it's telling us | Next
update | | | |
| Consumer
Confidence | Rebounding
Growth | February
22 | | Retail
sales | Growth
on Track | March
15 | | Leading
Economic Indicators | Rebounding
Growth | February
17 | | Manufacturing
Activity (ISM) | Growth
Slower Tthan Forecast | March
1 | | Industrial
Production | Rebounding
Growth | February
16 | | Jobs
Growth | Moderate
Growth | March
4 | | Inflation
(CPI) | Inflation
Threat Surfacing | February
23 | Family
Protection Act Includes CARE Proposals On January 24, Senate Finance Committee
member Rick Santorum, R-Pa., introduced S. 6, the Family and Community Protection
Act of 2005, which would provide permanent family tax relief, incorporate the
CARE Act which would enhance incentives for charitable giving, and improve block
grant programs to better assist needy families. Two of the changes proposed by
this legislation are a deduction for a portion of charitable contributions to
be allowed to individuals who do not itemize deductions and tax-free distributions
from individual retirement accounts for charitable purposes. Planned
Giving Design Center 2/04/05 Social
Security General Information Washington Post 2/24/05 President
Bush's push to restructure Social Security has thrust private investment accounts
to the front of the political debate, but dozens of alternative approaches to
Social Security's problems have been proposed -- and many of them are receiving
a second look as Congress grapples with the issue. At its heart, Social Security's
future financial shortfall is a basic math problem: The benefits owed over the
next 75 years are $3.7 trillion greater than what it will have collected to make
those payments. But how economists propose to solve that problem has had more
to do with their vision of the nation's largest social insurance system than mathematics.
A straightforward solution could be to raise the current payroll tax by less
than 2 percentage points or cut benefits by 13 percent. Either would solve the
problem through 2080. Similarly, if the limit on wages taxed for Social Security,
currently $90,000, were lifted altogether, the system would be kept fully solvent
until 2077, according to the Social Security Administration's chief actuary. But
out of political pragmatism, those who hope to preserve a basic structure established
by Franklin D. Roosevelt -- mainly Democrats -- have obscured both tax increases
and benefit cuts, using a variety of mechanisms that make the proposals remarkably
complex. Even with such tactics, the Democratic proposals have yet to catch fire
among politicians, who fear that the most head-on approach would be the most politically
treacherous. NY
Times 2/16/05 - Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan repeated his call
to Congress to take action to shore up the massive entitlement programs of Social
Security and Medicare. Those programs face huge financial strains with the looming
retirement of 78 million baby boomers in 2008. "Benefits promised
to a burgeoning retirement-age population under mandatory entitlement programs,
most notably Social Security and Medicare, threaten to strain the resources of
the working-age population in the years ahead,'' Greenspan said. ``Real progress
on these issues will unavoidably entail many difficult choices. But the demographics
are inexorable and call for action,'' he added. USA Today 2/9/05
- Most Americans are willing to endorse painful steps to ensure Social Security's
long-term solvency - steps that nick the rich, that is. Two-thirds of those surveyed
by USA TODAY/CNN/Gallup last weekend say it would be a "good idea" to limit retirement
benefits for the wealthy and to subject all wages to payroll taxes. Now, annual
earnings above $90,000 aren't taxed. But some ideas that President Bush said in
his State of the Union address were on the table for consideration are rejected
by solid majorities. By more than 2 to 1, Americans oppose reducing retirement
benefits for those now under age 55. Nearly as many say it's a bad idea to raise
the retirement age, and 57% are against reducing benefits for early retirees.
Six in 10 oppose raising Social Security taxes for everybody, a step Bush has
ruled out. White House - 2/07/05 The White House released more details
about the proposed Social Security Reform. The White House notes that there would
not be changes for persons age 55 and older (born before 1950). The 45 million
Americans currently receiving benefits will not see their benefits change in any
way. The personal accounts would be voluntary. A person could choose to stay in
the regular Social Security system, with the possibility of receiving lower future
benefits, or select the personal account. Stranger
Owned Life Insurance Policies (SOLI) Effectively Prohibited Under
state law, it is necessary to have an insurable interest to purchase insurance
on an individual. Governments believe that insurance is intended to be purchased
for the protection of family members, for business purposes or other key person
reasons. It is generally believed that allowing insurance purchases by investors
on unrelated individuals could lead to abuses. Therefore, stranger-owned life
insurance (SOLI) is not permitted under state law. In the Fiscal Year 2006
Revenue Proposals of the Bush Administration, there is a proposed provision that
will effectively eliminate this version of SOLI as of February 8, 2005. The proposed
provision would create an excise tax of 25% on the death benefit if a charity
has owned the contract and transferred it to a private individual or other entity
who does not have an insurable interest. In essence, the 25% tax on the proceeds
will eliminate any potential for investors to produce a reasonable return, and
charitable SOLI policies will experience a quick death. GiftLaw
2/14/05 IRS
Publishes Car Donation Guide The American
Jobs Creation Act of 2004 changed the rules on gifts of cars and other vehicles.
The new rules apply to gifts on or after January 1, 2005. The rules create two
new ways to take a charitable deduction for gifts of cars valued at over $500.
In
IRS Publication 4303, the two rules are stated. They are as follows: If
a donor gives a car and the charity sells it without "significant intervening
use or material improvement," the deduction will be the gross proceeds of the
sale. If
the charity makes use of the vehicle or materially improves the vehicle, the deduction
usually is fair market value.
For
cars valued over $500, the charity must give a written acknowledgement to the
donor. It needs to include the name of the donor, his or her Social Security number,
the vehicle identification number, and the gross proceeds from the sale. However,
if the charity is going to use the vehicle, the statement must indicate the duration
of the use. Finally, if the charity plans to make a material improvement, the
acknowledgement must describe the material improvement and indicate that the charity
will not sell before completing the improvement. This
report is due to the donor within 30 days of the sale of the car. If the charity
plans to use or materially improve the car, then the acknowledgement is due within
30 days of the date of the gift. For gifts that qualify for fair market value
deduction because the charity is using the vehicle, that deduction must reflect
both the book value for the vehicle and an adjustment for the condition of the
vehicle. Several
potential forms may be involved. If the vehicle is worth more than $250, then
a receipt from the charity with the "no goods or services in exchange for the
car" statement is required. For vehicles valued at $500, the new acknowledgement
by the charity is required with either the gross sale proceeds or the description
of use or improvement, if either applies. When
filing Form 1040, if the gift value is greater than $500, then Section A of Form
8283 must be included. If the gift is over $5,000, then an appraisal by an independent
appraiser is required. Giftlaw 1/30/2004 TOP
OF PAGE
| CLOSE WINDOW
Mum's The Word The most important thing about the Federal Reserve's
meeting and policy statement today is not what they did - hike the key short-term
rate to 2.5% - but what they did NOT do: confirm the inflation-worry hysteria
that had circulated in some parts of the bond market. In
fact, the Fed's policy statement, where they line up a bunch of finely-nuanced
words and phrases to show what they think about the economy now and where rates
could go next, was all but identical to the statement issued after their last
meeting on December 14 of last year! "Inflation
and longer-term inflation expectations remain well contained." That's what the
Fed said today and last month and in November. No change at all. Now,
it's possible that Big Fed Chief Alan Greenspan is waiting for his testimony to
Congress on February 16 and 17 to "officially" signal to the world that he and
his monetary policy gang are getting more worried about inflation. Or maybe not.
Greenspan's
main inflation gauge, the "PCE deflator" is rising at a 1.5% annual rate as of
January, hardly what you would call a flashing red light on the price pressure
front. And productivity, worker output per hour, has held up okay and that's also
seen as an inflation blocker. CNN
Money by Kathleen Hays 2/02/05
Bush Names 2 Ex-Senators
to Consider Tax Changes President
Bush on Friday named two well-known former senators to head a bipartisan advisory
panel on taxes, and gave the group six months to come up with recommendations
on how to make the income tax simpler, fairer and more conducive to growth. The
panel's chairman will be Connie Mack III, a former Republican senator from Florida,
and its vice chairman will be John B. Breaux, the former Democratic senator from
Louisiana who decided not to run for re-election last year. Mr.
Bush pledged in his election campaign to seek a fundamental overhaul of the income
tax, and many Republicans would like to replace today's complex code with a consumption
tax or a flat tax that essentially taxes money people spend rather than the money
they save or invest. The
panel Mr. Bush named Friday consists almost entirely of people who have never
staked out public positions on the best approach to overhauling the tax code.
Neither Mr. Mack nor Mr. Breaux championed a particular approach to taxes, though
Mr. Mack was a strong supporter of tax cuts. Mr. Breaux, a conservative Democrat,
frequently tried to work as a broker between the two parties on tax issues and
is best known as a cagey dealmaker. NY Times by Edmund Andrews
1/09/05
Aging
Population Poses Global Challenges When
President Bush delivers his State of the Union address tonight, his prescriptions
for Social Security are likely to vault that issue to the front of the nation's
political agenda. But Social Security's financial problems are a relatively small
sliver of the far larger challenges posed by an aging population, economists say.
From
untamed health care programs to military pensions, housing and heating assistance
to coal-miners' benefits, programs for the elderly have proliferated and grown
more generous, even in the face of an aging trend that demographers have long
seen coming. In that light, the fight over Social Security marks only the beginning
of a national debate over the cost of a graying society -- and the inevitable
reallocation of resources that is sure to produce winners and losers, in the United
States and around the world. "The
question is whether we can support the elderly with a decent standard of living
without imposing a crushing burden on the young," said Richard Jackson, director
of the global aging initiative at the Center for Strategic & International Studies.
"Whether we can is a real concern." Washington Post By Jonathan
Weisman 02/02/05 News
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Revised: March 1, 2005 16:37.
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