DATE: Feb, 2005

The following is intended as general information and does not represent legal or tax advice. Individual circumstances vary - please consult your legal and tax advisors about your specific situation. As a monthly news source, some information may remain on this page for several weeks.

I expect to pass through life but once. If, therefore, there can be any kindness I can show, or any good things I can do to any fellow human being, let me do it now, and not defer it or neglect it, as I shall not pass this way again.

William Penn

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NEWS SOURCES | ARCHIVES OF PAST MONTHS

Recent Economic News

Healthcare Spending - 2/24/05 NY Times
The Bush administration predicted Wednesday that government would account for nearly half of all the nation's health care spending by 2014. Further, it said, total health spending will double in a decade, to $3.6 trillion in 2014 from $1.8 trillion last year, while gross domestic product, the total output of goods and services, grows more slowly. As a result, health spending will constitute 18.7 percent of the economy by 2014, up from an estimated 15.4 percent last year, the administration said.

Economy In Good Shape - 2/16/05 NY Times
Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan told Congress on Wednesday that the economic expansion rolled into the new year at a respectable pace and that inflation -- while not an immediate threat -- is something policy-makers must continue to guard against.
Greenspan, delivering the Fed's twice-a-year economic outlook to lawmakers, struck a fairly positive tone about the economy, which had been mired in a midyear lull last year and has since improved.
"All told, the economy seems to have entered 2005 expanding at a reasonably good pace, with inflation and inflation expectations well-anchored,'' Greenspan said in prepared testimony before the Senate Banking Committee.

Balance Of Payments - 2/05/05 NY Times
Federal Reserve Board Chairman Alan Greenspan predicted yesterday that the U.S. trade deficit will level off and possibly shrink in months and years to come, in a speech that took a less alarmist view of the trade gap than he has offered recently. Greenspan cited the decline in the U.S. dollar as the main factor that is "poised to stabilize and over the longer run possibly to decrease" the trade deficit. A cheaper dollar makes U.S. products more competitive against goods produced abroad.

January Stocks Down - 2/0105 Wall Street Journal
"Despite a rally" Monday, "stock indexes finished January with clear declines, and that could augur poorly for the year to come. The strong voter turnout and limited violence during Iraq's elections combined with merger news and positive economic reports to drive stocks up at the opening bell.... But oil prices, which began the day down, turned up by afternoon amid continuing jitters about Middle East stability and oil supplies."
GovExec.com

Federal Reserve Is Expected to Continue Raising Rates - 1/30/05 NY Times and 2/02/05 NY Times
Notwithstanding new evidence released on Friday that economic growth has slowed in recent months, the Federal Reserve appears poised to continue raising interest rates for most if not all of this year. Analysts almost unanimously predict that the Fed will increase rates on Wednesday by another quarter-point, to 2.5 percent, and most expect the central bank to repeat past statements about raising rates at a "measured" pace. UPDATE - on 2/205 the Fed raised rates by a quarter of a point to 2.5 percent. It was its sixth increase since last June.
NY Times By Edmund L. Andrews

Fed Sees Productivity Growth Slowing Down - 1/20/05 Government Executive
Almost a decade after Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan identified higher productivity as the key to inflation-free economic expansion, Fed officials see productivity growth slowing down -- and are studying how that may affect inflation and how fast they should raise interest rates. The Labor Department said Wednesday that inflation, excluding food and energy, was 2.2% in the 12 months that ended in December. That pace was unchanged from November but up sharply from a low of 1.1% in January 2004.
GovExec.com

THE ECONOMY: SEVEN INDICATORS - From CNN Money (as of 2/02/05)
The indicatorWhat it's telling usNext update
Consumer ConfidenceRebounding GrowthFebruary 22
Retail salesGrowth on TrackMarch 15
Leading Economic IndicatorsRebounding GrowthFebruary 17
Manufacturing Activity (ISM)Growth Slower Tthan ForecastMarch 1
Industrial ProductionRebounding GrowthFebruary 16
Jobs GrowthModerate Growth March 4
Inflation (CPI)Inflation Threat SurfacingFebruary 23

Family Protection Act Includes CARE Proposals
On January 24, Senate Finance Committee member Rick Santorum, R-Pa., introduced S. 6, the Family and Community Protection Act of 2005, which would provide permanent family tax relief, incorporate the CARE Act which would enhance incentives for charitable giving, and improve block grant programs to better assist needy families. Two of the changes proposed by this legislation are a deduction for a portion of charitable contributions to be allowed to individuals who do not itemize deductions and tax-free distributions from individual retirement accounts for charitable purposes.
Planned Giving Design Center 2/04/05

Social Security General Information
Washington Post 2/24/05
President Bush's push to restructure Social Security has thrust private investment accounts to the front of the political debate, but dozens of alternative approaches to Social Security's problems have been proposed -- and many of them are receiving a second look as Congress grapples with the issue.
At its heart, Social Security's future financial shortfall is a basic math problem: The benefits owed over the next 75 years are $3.7 trillion greater than what it will have collected to make those payments. But how economists propose to solve that problem has had more to do with their vision of the nation's largest social insurance system than mathematics.
A straightforward solution could be to raise the current payroll tax by less than 2 percentage points or cut benefits by 13 percent. Either would solve the problem through 2080. Similarly, if the limit on wages taxed for Social Security, currently $90,000, were lifted altogether, the system would be kept fully solvent until 2077, according to the Social Security Administration's chief actuary.
But out of political pragmatism, those who hope to preserve a basic structure established by Franklin D. Roosevelt -- mainly Democrats -- have obscured both tax increases and benefit cuts, using a variety of mechanisms that make the proposals remarkably complex. Even with such tactics, the Democratic proposals have yet to catch fire among politicians, who fear that the most head-on approach would be the most politically treacherous.

NY Times 2/16/05 - Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan repeated his call to Congress to take action to shore up the massive entitlement programs of Social Security and Medicare. Those programs face huge financial strains with the looming retirement of 78 million baby boomers in 2008. "Benefits promised to a burgeoning retirement-age population under mandatory entitlement programs, most notably Social Security and Medicare, threaten to strain the resources of the working-age population in the years ahead,'' Greenspan said. ``Real progress on these issues will unavoidably entail many difficult choices. But the demographics are inexorable and call for action,'' he added.
USA Today 2/9/05 - Most Americans are willing to endorse painful steps to ensure Social Security's long-term solvency - steps that nick the rich, that is. Two-thirds of those surveyed by USA TODAY/CNN/Gallup last weekend say it would be a "good idea" to limit retirement benefits for the wealthy and to subject all wages to payroll taxes. Now, annual earnings above $90,000 aren't taxed. But some ideas that President Bush said in his State of the Union address were on the table for consideration are rejected by solid majorities. By more than 2 to 1, Americans oppose reducing retirement benefits for those now under age 55. Nearly as many say it's a bad idea to raise the retirement age, and 57% are against reducing benefits for early retirees. Six in 10 oppose raising Social Security taxes for everybody, a step Bush has ruled out.
White House - 2/07/05 The White House released more details about the proposed Social Security Reform. The White House notes that there would not be changes for persons age 55 and older (born before 1950). The 45 million Americans currently receiving benefits will not see their benefits change in any way. The personal accounts would be voluntary. A person could choose to stay in the regular Social Security system, with the possibility of receiving lower future benefits, or select the personal account.

Stranger Owned Life Insurance Policies (SOLI) Effectively Prohibited
Under state law, it is necessary to have an insurable interest to purchase insurance on an individual. Governments believe that insurance is intended to be purchased for the protection of family members, for business purposes or other key person reasons. It is generally believed that allowing insurance purchases by investors on unrelated individuals could lead to abuses. Therefore, stranger-owned life insurance (SOLI) is not permitted under state law.
In the Fiscal Year 2006 Revenue Proposals of the Bush Administration, there is a proposed provision that will effectively eliminate this version of SOLI as of February 8, 2005. The proposed provision would create an excise tax of 25% on the death benefit if a charity has owned the contract and transferred it to a private individual or other entity who does not have an insurable interest. In essence, the 25% tax on the proceeds will eliminate any potential for investors to produce a reasonable return, and charitable SOLI policies will experience a quick death.
GiftLaw 2/14/05

IRS Publishes Car Donation Guide
The American Jobs Creation Act of 2004 changed the rules on gifts of cars and other vehicles. The new rules apply to gifts on or after January 1, 2005. The rules create two new ways to take a charitable deduction for gifts of cars valued at over $500.

In IRS Publication 4303, the two rules are stated. They are as follows:

  • If a donor gives a car and the charity sells it without "significant intervening use or material improvement," the deduction will be the gross proceeds of the sale.
  • If the charity makes use of the vehicle or materially improves the vehicle, the deduction usually is fair market value.

For cars valued over $500, the charity must give a written acknowledgement to the donor. It needs to include the name of the donor, his or her Social Security number, the vehicle identification number, and the gross proceeds from the sale. However, if the charity is going to use the vehicle, the statement must indicate the duration of the use. Finally, if the charity plans to make a material improvement, the acknowledgement must describe the material improvement and indicate that the charity will not sell before completing the improvement.

This report is due to the donor within 30 days of the sale of the car. If the charity plans to use or materially improve the car, then the acknowledgement is due within 30 days of the date of the gift. For gifts that qualify for fair market value deduction because the charity is using the vehicle, that deduction must reflect both the book value for the vehicle and an adjustment for the condition of the vehicle.

Several potential forms may be involved. If the vehicle is worth more than $250, then a receipt from the charity with the "no goods or services in exchange for the car" statement is required. For vehicles valued at $500, the new acknowledgement by the charity is required with either the gross sale proceeds or the description of use or improvement, if either applies.

When filing Form 1040, if the gift value is greater than $500, then Section A of Form 8283 must be included. If the gift is over $5,000, then an appraisal by an independent appraiser is required.
Giftlaw 1/30/2004

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Mum's The Word
The most important thing about the Federal Reserve's meeting and policy statement today is not what they did - hike the key short-term rate to 2.5% - but what they did NOT do: confirm the inflation-worry hysteria that had circulated in some parts of the bond market.

In fact, the Fed's policy statement, where they line up a bunch of finely-nuanced words and phrases to show what they think about the economy now and where rates could go next, was all but identical to the statement issued after their last meeting on December 14 of last year!

"Inflation and longer-term inflation expectations remain well contained." That's what the Fed said today and last month and in November. No change at all.

Now, it's possible that Big Fed Chief Alan Greenspan is waiting for his testimony to Congress on February 16 and 17 to "officially" signal to the world that he and his monetary policy gang are getting more worried about inflation. Or maybe not.

Greenspan's main inflation gauge, the "PCE deflator" is rising at a 1.5% annual rate as of January, hardly what you would call a flashing red light on the price pressure front. And productivity, worker output per hour, has held up okay and that's also seen as an inflation blocker.
CNN Money by Kathleen Hays 2/02/05

Bush Names 2 Ex-Senators to Consider Tax Changes
President Bush on Friday named two well-known former senators to head a bipartisan advisory panel on taxes, and gave the group six months to come up with recommendations on how to make the income tax simpler, fairer and more conducive to growth.

The panel's chairman will be Connie Mack III, a former Republican senator from Florida, and its vice chairman will be John B. Breaux, the former Democratic senator from Louisiana who decided not to run for re-election last year.

Mr. Bush pledged in his election campaign to seek a fundamental overhaul of the income tax, and many Republicans would like to replace today's complex code with a consumption tax or a flat tax that essentially taxes money people spend rather than the money they save or invest.

The panel Mr. Bush named Friday consists almost entirely of people who have never staked out public positions on the best approach to overhauling the tax code. Neither Mr. Mack nor Mr. Breaux championed a particular approach to taxes, though Mr. Mack was a strong supporter of tax cuts. Mr. Breaux, a conservative Democrat, frequently tried to work as a broker between the two parties on tax issues and is best known as a cagey dealmaker.
NY Times by Edmund Andrews 1/09/05

Aging Population Poses Global Challenges

When President Bush delivers his State of the Union address tonight, his prescriptions for Social Security are likely to vault that issue to the front of the nation's political agenda. But Social Security's financial problems are a relatively small sliver of the far larger challenges posed by an aging population, economists say.

From untamed health care programs to military pensions, housing and heating assistance to coal-miners' benefits, programs for the elderly have proliferated and grown more generous, even in the face of an aging trend that demographers have long seen coming. In that light, the fight over Social Security marks only the beginning of a national debate over the cost of a graying society -- and the inevitable reallocation of resources that is sure to produce winners and losers, in the United States and around the world.

"The question is whether we can support the elderly with a decent standard of living without imposing a crushing burden on the young," said Richard Jackson, director of the global aging initiative at the Center for Strategic & International Studies. "Whether we can is a real concern."
Washington Post By Jonathan Weisman 02/02/05

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Please note, individual financial circumstances will vary. The information on this site is meant as general information and does not represent legal or tax advice.. As with all tax and estate planning, please consult your attorney or estate specialist. All material is copyrighted and is for viewing purposes only. This News and Information section has been compiled by Future Focus.
Please report any problems to webmaster. Revised: March 1, 2005 16:37.