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Never
doubt that a small group of thoughtful, dedicated individuals can change the world;
indeed, it is the only thing that ever has. Margaret Mead
CPI
posts biggest gain in 25 years - CNN Money 10/14/05 Consumer
prices rose at the fastest pace in more than 25 years last month, spurred by a
surge in energy prices to record highs after Hurricane Katrina. At the same time,
though, a closely watched measure of so-called core inflation, excluding volatile
food and energy prices, showed surprisingly little price pressure in September.
The Consumer Price Index, the government's main inflation gauge, jumped 1.2 percent
in September after rising 0.5 percent in August, the Labor Department reported.
The department said energy costs were responsible for 90 percent of the rise.
Record gasoline prices in September after Katrina sent energy prices soaring 12
percent in the month. The overall CPI number was the biggest monthly jump since
March 1980, and it was quite a bit worse than expected. Economists surveyed by
Briefing.com had forecast a 0.9 percent rise in the headline number.
Mortgage
Interest Deduction Limitation? -
LA Times 10/12/05 Bush's "tax reform commission [the President's
Advisory Panel on Federal Tax Reform] tentatively agreed Tuesday to recommend
a substantial reduction in the limit on mortgage interest that homeowners can
deduct from their taxes." "If a uniform nationwide cap was chosen to replace
the current $1-million limit on mortgage debt eligible for deduction, it could
be widely felt in California, which has some of the nation's highest home prices."
But to account for the wide disparity in home values nationally, the panel considered
recommending a ceiling based on local housing prices but left the issue open,
to be decided later. Some panel members suggested basing the limit on the Federal
Housing Administration's maximum on mortgages it will insure - currently $312,895
in Southern California. The panel did not discuss Tuesday whether to recommend
limiting the interest deduction on home equity loans or second homes, as had been
previously suggested by some panel members.
Fed
Worried Katrina Would Boost Inflation - Washington Post 10/12/05 Federal
Reserve officials lifted their key short-term interest rate last month because
most of them worried that Hurricane Katrina had done more to raise the risks of
higher inflation than to threaten U.S. economic growth. Members of the Fed's
top policymaking committee also believed more rate increases would probably be
needed to keep a lid on price increases, according to minutes released yesterday
of the group's Sept. 20 meeting. One Fed board member, Mark W. Olson, dissented
at the meeting because he wanted to leave the rate unchanged until he had more
information on the deadly storm's economic effects, the minutes state, providing
the first public explanation of his vote.
Economy
lost 35,000 Jobs - Much Less Than Feared - NYTimes
10/8/05 Employment contracted at an unexpectedly modest pace
in September, underscoring the American economy's strength in the first broad
snapshot since Hurricane Katrina hit Louisiana and Mississippi in August. The
Department of Labor reported yesterday that the economy lost 35,000 jobs in September,
the first contraction since May 2003. The unemployment rate rose for the first
time in seven months, inching up to 5.1 percent in September from 4.9 percent
in August. Job losses appeared to be concentrated in the disaster area. They were
offset by strong employment growth in the rest of the country, which confirmed
the continued strength of the economic expansion.
Energy
Fuels Fears of Broader Inflation - NY Times 10/6/05 Oil
costs are hitting a range of businesses. As some pass increases to customers,
economists worry that prices will spiral upward. Rising energy costs are causing
Americans to pay more for such diverse products as cat litter and express delivery
services, sparking concerns that protracted inflation might be returning as a
primary threat to the U.S. economy for the first time in more than a decade. Signs
of higher inflation are beginning to multiply across the economy.
Oil
Production Only Slowly Returning - MarketWatch.com 10/3/05 Over
a month after Hurricane Katrina bore down on the Gulf of Mexico, less than 10%
of the region's oil production has been brought back on line, worrying Wall Street
and Washington," MarketWatch.com reports. "The offshore industry's painfully slow
recovery, dealt a second devastating blow in late August by Hurricane Rita, is
playing havoc with fuel prices and the economy, adding to the nation's trade deficit
as foreign oil pours into U.S. ports to cover lost production offshore and at
Gulf Coast refineries.
Manufacturing
Posts Big Gain - CNN Money 10/3/05 Manufacturing
growth surged in September, according to a closely watched survey of industry
executives released Monday that came in much stronger than Wall Street expectations.
The Institute for Supply Management's manufacturing index came in at 59.4
for September, up from the 53.6 reading in August. It was the highest reading
in the index in 13 months and came despite the shock of higher energy prices paid
by many manufacturers in the month. Economists surveyed by Briefing.com had forecast
the index would slip to 52 in September. "While energy prices and the impact
from Hurricane Katrina are major concerns, the manufacturing sector has regained
significant momentum," said Norbert Ore, chairman of the Institute's Manufacturing
Business Survey Committee. He estimated that the storm might have added as much
as four to five points to this month's ISM index.
Greenspan
Concern With Mortgages - Wall Street Journal 9/27/05 Federal
Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan, "drawing on new research he has personally supervised,
said American consumers have become enormously dependent on borrowing against
their homes to fuel their spending, and that a rise in mortgage rates could trigger
a spending pullback," the Wall Street Journal reports. "Mr. Greenspan's new data
show that borrowing against home values added a stunning $600 billion to consumers'
spending power last year, equivalent to 7% of personal disposable income -- compared
with 3% in 2000 and 1% in 1994." Related Comments - NYTimes
9/27/05 With new evidence that the housing market remained red hot last
month, Alan Greenspan said that the vast majority of homeowners are not yet stretched
too thin. But Mr. Greenspan warned that the use of "exotic" mortgages could be
pushing prices higher and inducing some homebuyers to take on too much risk.
New
Home Sales, Consumer Confidence Dropped - NYTimes 9/27/05 New
home sales fell sharply in August and consumer confidence dropped to its lowest
level in more than two years this month, according to two reports released today,
raising some concerns about the economy's health or at least consumers' perceptions
of it in the wake of Hurricane Katrina . The latest data do not necessarily signal
a worsening trend because both home sales and consumer confidence are volatile
indicators that can fluctuate widely from month to month, analysts said. The large
decline in new home sales, for instance, comes a day after another report showed
a surprising increase in existing home sales in August.
THE
ECONOMY: SEVEN INDICATORS - From
CNN Money (as of 10/15/05)
The
Indicator
What
It's Telling Us
Next
Update
Consumer
Confidence
Near two year low
Oct
25
Retail
sales
Up
slightly in September
Nov
15
Leading
Economic Indicators
Point
to slowdown in economic growth
Oct
20
Manufacturing
Activity (ISM)
Big
gain in September
Nov
1
Industrial
Production
Biggest
drop in 23 years due to hurricanes
Nov
17
Job
Growth
First
decline in two years; Katrina muddies picture.
Nov
4
Inflation
(CPI)
soars
on huge jump in energy prices, but other prices nearly flat.
Nov
15
CARE
Act Reintroduced in Congress The Charity Aid, Recovery and Empowerment
(CARE) Act, S.1780, was reintroduced by Sens. Rick Santorum (R-Pa.) and Joseph
Lieberman (D-Conn.) on Sept. 28, 2005. Reps. Roy Blunt (R-Mo.) and Harold Ford
(D-Tenn.) introduced companion legislation, H.R. 3908, in the House. The two
bills are very similar to the CARE Act that was introduced in 2003 and include
charitable giving incentives such as the IRA rollover and non-itemizer deduction.
In the last Congress, the Senate passed the CARE Act by a vote of 95 to 5, while
the House overwhelming approved its version by a vote of 408 to 13. However, the
House and Senate were unable to resolve the differences between the two bills
in a conference committee before the 108th Congress adjourned in December 2004.
Both of the new versions contains the IRA rollover provision, a proposal that
AFP has strongly supported in the past, but the House and Senate provisions differ
slightly regarding the age thresholds that would trigger the charitable incentive.
There are also different giving incetives in the two bills. editor note - Of course,
we need to wait to see if the CARE Act is passed and what the final version will
include. AFPNET Newswire 10/4/05
Hurricanes
Katrina and Rita Scam Alert The
Internal Revenue Service today issued a consumer alert about possible scams taking
place in the wake of Hurricane Katrina and other recent natural disasters. Such
fraudulent schemes may be perpetrated through the telephone, Internet, e-mail
or in-person solicitations. The IRS cautions hurricane victims and people wishing
to make disaster-related charitable donations to avoid unscrupulous scam artists
by following these tips:
The
IRS has established a toll-free disaster assistance telephone number, 1-866-562-5227,
specifically for hurricane victims. Whenever a matter involves tax relief or tax
refunds, the first step a disaster victim should take is to call the IRS.
For
others, donate to recognized charities.
Be
wary of charities with names that sound like familiar or nationally known organizations.
Some phony charities use names or Web sites that sound or look like those of respected,
legitimate organizations. The IRS Web site at IRS.gov has a search feature that
allows people to find legitimate, qualified charities to which donations may be
tax-deductible. Legitimate charities may also be found on the Federal Emergency
Management Agency (FEMA) Web site at fema.gov.
Don't
give out personal financial information - such as Social Security numbers or credit
card and bank account numbers and passwords - to anyone who solicits a contribution
from you. Scam artists use this information to steal your identity and financial
resources.
Don't
give or send cash. For security and tax record purposes, contribute by check or
credit card. Write the official name of the charity on your check. Internal
Revenue Bulletin 2005-115 10/4/2005
Major
Gift Opportunity Through 12/31/05 As part of the Katrina Hurricane Relief
Tax Package (H.R. 3768), Sec. 301 permits charitable gifts up to 100% of income.
This provision effectively permits unlimited IRA withdrawals and gifts to charity.
Many major donors may make IRA withdrawal-gifts during the rest of 2005. When
a person over 59 1/2 withdraws funds from his or her IRA, the withdrawal will
be included in the IRA owner's taxable income. Under the new 100% of income charitable
gifts option, the withdrawn funds may be given in full to charity. The full gift
will then be deductible. This bill is pending compromise committee review and
the President's signiture. Qualifying cash gifts must be made between August
28, 2005 and December 31, 2005. Make sure the withdrawal request allows time for
processing. You must have the cash available by December 31 to qualify. Public
charities generally will qualify, but there are several exceptions -- no private
foundation gifts, no supporting organization gifts, no donor advised fund gifts
and no gifts of property such as stock or land. www.iragift.org
9/23/05
Vehicle
Donation Update The IRS has just issued a new form 1098-C, which charities
must provide to donors who donate cars, boats or airplanes. This form helps to
implement the new law that prohibits a charitable deduction greater than the charity's
sale price. You can view this new form at the IRS website here: www.irs.gov/pub/irs-pdf/f1098c.pdf.
The charity must issue the form to the donor within 30 days of the date of the
gift, and a copy must be forwarded to the IRS by February 28th of the following
year. Commentary: As we see time and time again, the misdeeds of the
few cause more paperwork for everyone else. If a few charities had not stretched
the rules and encouraged donors to claim deductions far in excess of what the
charity actually received, there would have been no need for the new law or the
new form. This new procedure will pose a significant additional burden for the
business office of each charity that regularly accepts donations of cars, boats
and airplanes. John Ebare - www.pgcoach.com 9/12/05
Delay
In Estate Tax Vote The U.S. Senate will delay voting on legislation to
repeal the estate tax, Senate Majority Leader Bill Frist said after Democrats
urged Republicans to make helping Gulf Coast hurricane victims the priority when
Congress returns. "We want to address the urgent needs that relate to the people
that are in such desperate shape down there," Senate Democratic Leader Harry Reid
said Monday. Two hours later, Frist told reporters that the Senate is delaying
the estate tax measure. Frist last week said that Republican lawmakers would pursue
a vote on estate tax repeal as the first order of business when the Senate returned
after the August recess, which ends tomorrow. Democrats long have argued that
the estate tax, currently being phased out until 2010, when it will be repealed
for one year, benefits the wealthy and deepens federal budget deficits. Reid,
of Nevada, said Monday that a Republican push for a vote on the estate tax soon
after the hurricane would be "a travesty on top of a tragedy." Arizona
Republic - 9/6/05
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Revised: November 1, 2005 20:15.